Pre-tourney Rankings
Penn St.
Big Ten
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.8#76
Expected Predictive Rating+5.8#85
Pace67.8#169
Improvement+0.5#158

Offense
Total Offense+3.9#76
Improvement-3.5#316

Defense
Total Defense+2.9#95
Improvement+4.1#22
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2013 187   Wagner W 74-62 85%     1 - 0 +7.8 +0.7 +6.7
  Nov 13, 2013 168   Bucknell L 80-90 82%     1 - 1 -12.9 +9.9 -23.0
  Nov 16, 2013 260   @ Penn W 83-71 82%     2 - 1 +9.3 +7.4 +1.6
  Nov 19, 2013 106   La Salle W 79-72 70%     3 - 1 +8.3 +11.4 -2.9
  Nov 24, 2013 349   Longwood W 93-67 98%     4 - 1 +6.5 +13.5 -5.8
  Nov 26, 2013 264   Monmouth W 84-52 92%     5 - 1 +23.5 +18.0 +8.5
  Nov 29, 2013 35   St. John's W 89-82 OT 34%     6 - 1 +18.1 +16.3 +1.1
  Nov 30, 2013 87   Mississippi L 76-79 53%     6 - 2 +3.0 +7.1 -4.1
  Dec 03, 2013 17   @ Pittsburgh L 69-78 16%     6 - 3 +8.2 +3.9 +4.4
  Dec 07, 2013 232   Marshall W 90-77 90%     7 - 3 +6.1 +4.7 -0.2
  Dec 11, 2013 149   Duquesne W 68-59 70%     8 - 3 +10.4 -7.1 +17.5
  Dec 14, 2013 103   Princeton L 79-81 OT 70%     8 - 4 -0.6 -5.5 +5.2
  Dec 22, 2013 211   Mount St. Mary's W 92-82 87%     9 - 4 +4.5 +6.0 -2.3
  Dec 31, 2013 10   Michigan St. L 63-79 26%     9 - 5 0 - 1 -2.5 -3.9 +1.4
  Jan 04, 2014 59   @ Illinois L 55-75 32%     9 - 6 0 - 2 -8.5 -8.6 +0.2
  Jan 08, 2014 53   Minnesota L 65-68 51%     9 - 7 0 - 3 +3.6 -7.4 +11.1
  Jan 11, 2014 58   Indiana L 76-79 53%     9 - 8 0 - 4 +3.0 +7.0 -3.9
  Jan 14, 2014 13   @ Michigan L 67-80 15%     9 - 9 0 - 5 +5.1 +8.4 -5.4
  Jan 18, 2014 84   @ Purdue L 64-65 42%     9 - 10 0 - 6 +8.0 -4.8 +12.8
  Jan 23, 2014 49   Nebraska W 58-54 49%     10 - 10 1 - 6 +11.0 -1.6 +13.2
  Jan 29, 2014 18   @ Ohio St. W 71-70 OT 17%     11 - 10 2 - 6 +18.2 +12.3 +6.0
  Feb 02, 2014 84   Purdue W 79-68 63%     12 - 10 3 - 6 +14.4 +5.6 +8.4
  Feb 06, 2014 10   @ Michigan St. L 67-82 13%     12 - 11 3 - 7 +4.1 +5.4 -2.0
  Feb 09, 2014 59   Illinois L 55-60 53%     12 - 12 3 - 8 +1.0 -0.1 +0.0
  Feb 12, 2014 58   @ Indiana W 66-65 32%     13 - 12 4 - 8 +12.6 +3.3 +9.3
  Feb 15, 2014 20   Iowa L 70-82 33%     13 - 13 4 - 9 -0.6 -0.8 +0.3
  Feb 20, 2014 49   @ Nebraska L 67-80 29%     13 - 14 4 - 10 -0.4 +3.7 -4.4
  Feb 27, 2014 18   Ohio St. W 65-63 32%     14 - 14 5 - 10 +13.6 +6.9 +6.9
  Mar 02, 2014 12   Wisconsin L 66-71 28%     14 - 15 5 - 11 +7.8 +3.5 +3.8
  Mar 06, 2014 116   @ Northwestern W 59-32 52%     15 - 15 6 - 11 +33.4 +8.1 +30.8
  Mar 09, 2014 53   @ Minnesota L 63-81 30%     15 - 16 6 - 12 -5.8 -0.9 -5.8
  Mar 13, 2014 53   Minnesota L 56-63 40%     15 - 17 +2.4 -6.9 +8.5
Projected Record 15.0 - 17.0 6.0 - 12.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%